Friday Night Update: Weekend Snow Chances

11PM Friday 2.17.12

What a complicated weather setup we have for the second half of our weekend!!

The latest data has come in, and still leaves a lot of questions on this impending winter weather event. The latest NAM & GFS models both keep Louisville precipitation-free (no snow or rain)… with the best chances of precipitation south of the W KY and Bluegrass Parkways.

The other problem: the GFS has a warm layer of air which may prevent a changeover to snow IF the precipitation is not heavy enough to allow temperatures to fall below freezing in the lowest layers of the atmosphere.

Meanwhile, another one of our models has the wintry precipitation as far north as southern Indiana… but it is an outlier at this point in time.

The bottom line… we are going to keep our forecast from earlier today… of up to 1″ in Louisville to 2-4″ southeast of the Parkways… going for tonight. We’ll let the models update again through tomorrow morning and make a final assessment on this weather maker.

Just keep in mind that we still expect snow for our southeastern counties for Sunday, but it is highly in question just how far north that snow makes it and whether Louisville will see any.

More tomorrow.

–Jared

About Jared Heil

Meteorologist at WLKY-TV in Louisville, KY. Catch Jared's forecast Saturday nights at 6 & 11PM. Jared Heil has always lived in the Louisville area. He was born and raised in Henryville, Ind., about 20 minutes north of downtown Louisville. Jared is thrilled to be forecasting the weather in his hometown. Jared hopes that his knowledge of the Greater Louisville area, stemming from living here his entire life, will prove to be helpful during times of active weather. You may see Jared at the University of Louisville, where he is continuing his studies in the Atmospheric Science program. Jared is a member of the American Meteorological Society. In his free time, Jared enjoys spending time with his family and friends. He has two golden retrievers, Max and Gordon. Jared says that growing up on his family’s farm led him to appreciate nature in all its forms, likely leading to his passion for weather at a very early age. While he appreciates the occasional thunderstorm, Jared’s favorite weather is sunshine and 80 degrees. Add in the palm trees and it’s easy to see why Jared’s favorite vacation destination is Florida!

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