Overall… A Warmer and Drier Pattern The Next 10 Days or So…

Thursday, March 8th

Hello all… Well the wet weather from a cold front tacking across the regio will be with us today and those temperatures will be turning cooler through the afternoon.  The front will clear the region tonight allowing for clearing but chilly conditions.  High pressure then builds in for tomorrow giving us lots of sunshine but cooler conditions with temperatures just in the upper 40s and lower 50s across the region. Saturday looks like a beautiful day as we push back near 60 after a rather chilly and frosty start.

Looking ahead, another shower / storm chance looks to be in the cards in the late Sunday / Sunday night time frame… Here’s the NAM showing another upper system passing across the region at that time.

 At this time, I don’t see any widespread severe weather over our region with this system as: 1) the dynamics (wind energy) are pretty far to the west and are progged to pass west, northwest of us and 2) If there is a band of storms to our west Sunday evening, they would likely be in a weakening mode by the time they reached us later Sunday night as they get farther east of the main dynamical forcing and 3) any instabilty would be on the wane as we progress deeper into Sunday night.  Could this change…??? sure! and we’ll watch it real close.

After Sunday night’s chance of rain, it looks great around here !  The main jet shifts well north of us which will give us a good chance to dry out and for many, continue the clean up process. Many days next week should see temperatures climbing well into the 70s and perhaps approaching the low 80s by later in the week. Here’s The ECMWF & GFS 8 to 10 day showing the warm and quiet pattern over us as the main jet is well north (good agreement on both models).

 Finally, check this out…

The NOAA Storm Prediction Center received 128 tornado reports from the outbreak of severe weather that tore through the Southeast and Midwest on March 2, 2012.  This image shows a map of areas with high rotational velocity using data from NOAA’s network of NEXRAD radar installations, processed by the National Severe Storms Laboratory in Norman, Okla. By examining these images, we can determine approximately where supercells with strong rotation tracked, some of which produced tornadoes.   Some of these supercells had rotational velocity up to 180 mph, and so their signature stands out from the surrounding storm areas – and it is these features that are watched carefully for possible tornado outbreaks.

Jay C


About Jay Cardosi

Chief Meteorologist of WLKY-TV in Louisville, KY. Over 20 years of experience and winner of 4 emmy awards for excellence in weather forecasting and severe weather coverage.
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