8:40AM FRIDAY 3.2.12
A lot of questions were answered in the model data last night and confidence is increasing now that a severe weather episode is likely today across the WLKY Viewing area…
The Storm Prediction Center has issued their highest risk category for the WLKY viewing area for today…As I mentioned yesterday, I don’t want to alarm folks, but the time is now to be prepared for severe weather today. We still like the chances for storms off and on all day with an increasing threat for severe weather through the day. The peak potential for severe weather, including tornadoes, resides in the 1PM to 8PM time frame.
The SPC’s thoughts:
THE VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR...MODERATE INSTABILITY...A MOIST LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF A FEW DISCRETE WARM SECTOR SUPERCELLS / AND SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LINE ALONG THE FRONT/...ALL APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT TORNADO EPISODE WITH A FEW LONG-TRACK/STRONG TORNADOES. THE MOST PROBABLE AREA FOR DAMAGING TORNADOES WILL BE SE OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK IN THE MORE ESTABLISHED WARM SECTOR...OR NEAR AND S OF THE OH RIVER FROM EXTREME SRN INDIANA INTO CENTRAL KY/NRN MIDDLE TN. BOTH PRE-FRONTAL AND FRONTAL SUPERCELLS ARE MOST PROBABLE IN THE HIGH RISK AREA.
We do not see high severe weather risks issued around here very often, so this underscores the potential today for rough weather. Not everyone will see severe weather today, but storms that approach your location will move very quickly and have a very good opportunity to become severe weather in the environment in place today.
More updates today… as we get it. Remember to follow us on Facebook at @louisvilleweather.