Rare HIGH Severe Risk Today

8:40AM FRIDAY 3.2.12

A lot of questions were answered in the model data last night and confidence is increasing now that a severe weather episode is likely today across the WLKY Viewing area…

The Storm Prediction Center has issued their highest risk category for the WLKY viewing area for today…

HIGH RISK!

As I mentioned yesterday, I don’t want to alarm folks, but the time is now to be prepared for severe weather today. We still like the chances for storms off and on all day with an increasing threat for severe weather through the day. The peak potential for severe weather, including tornadoes, resides in the 1PM to 8PM time frame.

The SPC’s thoughts:

   THE VERY STRONG VERTICAL SHEAR...MODERATE INSTABILITY...A MOIST
   LOW-LEVEL ENVIRONMENT...AND THE LIKELIHOOD OF A FEW DISCRETE WARM
   SECTOR SUPERCELLS / AND SUPERCELLS WITHIN THE LINE ALONG THE
   FRONT/...ALL APPEAR SUPPORTIVE OF A POTENTIALLY SIGNIFICANT TORNADO
   EPISODE WITH A FEW LONG-TRACK/STRONG TORNADOES.  THE MOST PROBABLE
   AREA FOR DAMAGING TORNADOES WILL BE SE OF THE SURFACE LOW TRACK IN
   THE MORE ESTABLISHED WARM SECTOR...OR NEAR AND S OF THE OH RIVER
   FROM EXTREME SRN INDIANA INTO CENTRAL KY/NRN MIDDLE TN.  BOTH
   PRE-FRONTAL AND FRONTAL SUPERCELLS ARE MOST PROBABLE IN THE HIGH
   RISK AREA.

We do not see high severe weather risks issued around here very often, so this underscores the potential today for rough weather. Not everyone will see severe weather today, but storms that approach your location will move very quickly and have a very good opportunity to become severe weather in the environment in place today.

More updates today… as we get it. Remember to follow us on Facebook at @louisvilleweather.

–Jared

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About Jared Heil

Meteorologist at WLKY-TV in Louisville, KY. Catch Jared's forecast Saturday nights at 6 & 11PM. Jared Heil has always lived in the Louisville area. He was born and raised in Henryville, Ind., about 20 minutes north of downtown Louisville. Jared is thrilled to be forecasting the weather in his hometown. Jared hopes that his knowledge of the Greater Louisville area, stemming from living here his entire life, will prove to be helpful during times of active weather. You may see Jared at the University of Louisville, where he is continuing his studies in the Atmospheric Science program. Jared is a member of the American Meteorological Society. In his free time, Jared enjoys spending time with his family and friends. He has two golden retrievers, Max and Gordon. Jared says that growing up on his family’s farm led him to appreciate nature in all its forms, likely leading to his passion for weather at a very early age. While he appreciates the occasional thunderstorm, Jared’s favorite weather is sunshine and 80 degrees. Add in the palm trees and it’s easy to see why Jared’s favorite vacation destination is Florida!
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